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Kildonan—St. Paul

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Coordinates: 49°58′19″N 97°03′58″W / 49.972°N 97.066°W / 49.972; -97.066
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Kildonan—St. Paul
Manitoba electoral district
Kildonan—St. Paul in relation to other Manitoba federal electoral districts as of the 2013 Representation Order. Dotted line shows Winnipeg city limits.
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Raquel Dancho
Conservative
District created2003
First contested2004
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1]81,794
Electors (2015)61,252
Area (km²)[1]172
Pop. density (per km²)475.5
Census division(s)Division No. 11, Division No. 13
Census subdivision(s)Winnipeg, East St. Paul, West St. Paul

Kildonan—St. Paul is a federal electoral district in the Winnipeg Capital Region of Manitoba, Canada. It has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 2004.

Geography

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It consists of the far northern end of Winnipeg and the rural municipalities of East St. Paul and West St. Paul.

Demographics

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14.4% of the riding's residents are of Polish ethnic origin, the highest such percentage for any Canadian federal riding.[2]

Panethnic groups in Kildonan—St. Paul (2011−2021)
Panethnic group 2021[3] 2016[4] 2011[5]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
European[a] 56,390 62.3% 59,090 71.4% 63,470 78.44%
Southeast Asian[b] 12,395 13.69% 8,700 10.51% 6,160 7.61%
Indigenous 9,720 10.74% 8,435 10.19% 6,700 8.28%
South Asian 6,300 6.96% 2,605 3.15% 1,675 2.07%
African 2,330 2.57% 1,450 1.75% 1,050 1.3%
Latin American 975 1.08% 660 0.8% 510 0.63%
East Asian[c] 880 0.97% 715 0.86% 800 0.99%
Middle Eastern[d] 425 0.47% 300 0.36% 90 0.11%
Other/multiracial[e] 1,105 1.22% 815 0.98% 385 0.48%
Total responses 90,510 98.94% 82,760 98.43% 80,920 98.93%
Total population 91,480 100% 84,077 100% 81,794 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

History

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This riding was created in 2003 from Winnipeg North—St. Paul, Winnipeg North Centre and a small part of Winnipeg—Transcona riding.

This riding lost territory to Winnipeg North and Elmwood—Transcona during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

Members of Parliament

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Parliament Years Member Party
Kildonan—St. Paul
Riding created from Winnipeg North—St. Paul,
Winnipeg North Centre and Winnipeg—Transcona
38th  2004–2006     Joy Smith Conservative
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019     MaryAnn Mihychuk Liberal
43rd  2019–2021     Raquel Dancho Conservative
44th  2021–present

Current member of Parliament

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Its member of Parliament is Raquel Dancho, a member of the Conservative Party of Canada.

Election results

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Graph of election results in Kildonan—St. Paul (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
2021 federal election redistributed results[6]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 20,962 42.45
  Liberal 13,782 27.91
  New Democratic 11,755 23.80
  People's 2,677 5.42
  Green 152 0.31
  Others 58 0.12


2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Raquel Dancho 18,375 41.8 -3.0 $79,711.15
Liberal Mary-Jane Bennett 12,934 29.4 +1.5 $30,391.22
New Democratic Emily Clark 10,313 23.5 +2.3 $5,804.65
People's Sean Howe 2,325 5.3 +4.1 $2,327.71
Total valid votes/expense limit 43,947 99.2 – $105,384.72
Total rejected ballots 337 0.8
Turnout 44,284 66.1
Eligible voters 66,990
Conservative hold Swing -2.3
Source: Elections Canada[7]


2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Raquel Dancho 19,856 44.8 +4.96 $92,599.19
Liberal MaryAnn Mihychuk 12,356 27.9 -14.76 none listed
New Democratic Evan Krosney 9,387 21.2 +6.91 none listed
Green Rylan Reed 1,777 4.0 +2.22 $0.00
People's Martin Deck 510 1.2 – none listed
Christian Heritage Spencer Katerynuk 304 0.7 -0.41 $2,640.00
Independent Eduard Hiebert 108 0.2 -0.12 $741.74
Total valid votes/expense limit 44,298 100.0
Total rejected ballots 222
Turnout 44,520 67.7
Eligible voters 65,719
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +9.99
Source: Elections Canada[8][9]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal MaryAnn Mihychuk 18,717 42.66 +34.78 $57,688.21
Conservative Jim Bell 17,478 39.84 -18.63 $76,554.16
New Democratic Suzanne Hrynyk 6,270 14.29 -15.76 $43,914.70
Green Steven Stairs 783 1.78 -0.86 –
Christian Heritage David Reimer 485 1.11 – $7,381.13
Independent Eduard Walter Hiebert 142 0.32 – –
Total valid votes/expense limit 43,875 100.00   $196,949.80
Total rejected ballots 161 0.37 –
Turnout 44,036 71.48 –
Eligible voters 61,604
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +26.70
Source: Elections Canada[10][11]
2011 federal election redistributed results[12]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 21,417 58.47
  New Democratic 11,007 30.05
  Liberal 2,888 7.88
  Green 970 2.65
  Other 348 0.95


2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Joy Smith 22,670 58.16 +4.76 –
New Democratic Rachelle Devine 11,727 30.08 -2.62 –
Liberal Victor Andres 3,199 8.21 +0.07 –
Green Alon Weinberg 1,020 2.62 -1.98 –
Independent Brett Ryall 218 0.56 – –
Independent Eduard Hiebert 145 0.37 -0.21 –
Total valid votes/expense limit 38,979 100.00   –
Total rejected ballots 154 0.93 +0.03
Turnout 39,133 62.05 +4
Eligible voters 63,066 – –
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Joy Smith 19,751 53.40 +10.27 $64,584
New Democratic Ross Eadie 12,093 32.70 +12.53 $25,719
Liberal Lesley Hughes* 3,009 8.14 -25.33 –
Green Kevan Bowkett 1,685 4.60 +1.89 $101
Christian Heritage Jordan Loewen 233 0.63 – $1,302
Independent Eduard Hiebert 214 0.58 +0.06 $3,872
Total valid votes/expense limit 36,985 100.00   $78,899
Total rejected ballots 156 0.42 +0.08
Turnout 37,141 58 -6
Conservative hold Swing -1.13

* Lesley Hughes was nominated as the Liberal candidate but subsequently lost the nomination. Since she lost it after the candidate nomination deadline, she was still listed on the ballot as a Liberal[13][14]

2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Joy Smith 17,524 43.13 +5.83 $58,321
Liberal Terry Duguid 13,597 33.47 -3.06 $70,764
New Democratic Evelyn Myskiw 8,193 20.17 -2.35 $16,314
Green Colleen Zobel 1,101 2.71 +0.64 $0.00
Independent Eduard Hiebert 213 0.52 – $3,521
Total valid votes 40,628 100.00   –
Total rejected ballots 137 0.34 +0.02
Turnout 40,765 66 +6
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % Expenditures
Conservative Joy Smith 13,582 37.30 $53,156
Liberal Terry Duguid 13,304 36.54 $64,174
New Democratic Lorene Mahoney 8,202 22.53 $32,688
Green Jacob Giesbrecht 756 2.08 $1,929
Marijuana Rebecca Whittaker 290 0.80 not listed
Christian Heritage Katharine Reimer 278 0.76 $1,475
Total valid votes/expenditure limit 36,412 100.00 71,091
Total rejected ballots 117
Turnout 36,529 60.19
Electors on the lists 60,689
Percentage change figures are factored for redistribution. Conservative Party percentages are contrasted with the combined Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative percentages from 2000.
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

See also

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References

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  • "Kildonan—St. Paul (Code 46006) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.

Notes

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  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.
  1. ^ a b Statistics Canada: 2011
  2. ^ "2Profile of Ethnic Origin and Visible Minorities for Canada, Provinces, Territories and Federal Electoral Districts (2003 Representation Order), 2006 Census". 2.statcan.gc.ca. Archived from the original on October 5, 2013. Retrieved December 2, 2012.
  3. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  4. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  6. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  7. ^ "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 2, 2021.
  8. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  9. ^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 9, 2019.
  10. ^ Canada, Elections. "Voter Information Service - Find your electoral district". www.elections.ca.
  11. ^ Canada, Elections. "Error page". www.elections.ca. Archived from the original on August 15, 2015.
  12. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  13. ^ Campion-Smith, Bruce (September 26, 2008). "Dion drops candidate over 9/11". Toronto Star.
  14. ^ "Both Conservatives, NDP gain in Manitoba". CBC News. October 15, 2008.
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49°58′19″N 97°03′58″W / 49.972°N 97.066°W / 49.972; -97.066

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